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What this means. A wallet put $12.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. It won. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.2k
SELL Yes @ 43¢ · 28,487 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet truthteller took Yes (sell) for $12.2k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 43¢
- Implied odds
- 57.0%
- Size
- $12.2k
- Placed
- Jul 31, 09:56 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- truthteller
- Tx
- 0x0f94093e…
This wallet's graded record
5/8+26.7 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 95.6¢ | $49.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 14¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 14¢ | $31.9k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 89¢ | $30.3k | excluded |