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What this means. A wallet put $1.01M on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$1.01M
BUY No @ 99.3¢ · 1,020,810 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)3.3× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet Ryan888 took No (buy) for $1.01M at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $1.01M+3
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−14827American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.3¢
- Implied odds
- 99.3%
- Size
- $1.01M
- Placed
- Jan 28, 20:14 EST
- Market close
- Mar 17, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Ryan888
- Tx
- 0x0b63b10c…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+20.3 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $400.5k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $203.0k | excluded |