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What this means. A wallet put $255.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?excluded
$255.5k
BUY No @ 43¢ · 594,282 shares in 6 fills
Size ≥ $250k6 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)6.8× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet Eztennis took No (buy) for $255.5k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $255.5k+3
6 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
43¢
Implied odds
43.0%
As American odds
+133 no vig
Size
$255.5k
Placed
Jun 20, 12:59 EDT
Market close
Jun 20, 13:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Eztennis
Tx
0x0a2c7a11…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-32.0 pts
expected 0.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -43 pts
No price · entry 43¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 43¢ · $255.5k WHALE $255.5K @ 43¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $17.2k0% JZZZZZ678125d agoexcluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.2k0% winner877125d agoexcluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.7k0% omnibus-424779125d agoexcluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.9k0% starbuck02125d agoexcluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.1k0% Mexcol125d agoexcluded
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $91.0k
4.3× usual
0% ipop00125d agoexcluded