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What this means. A wallet put $42.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$42.2k
BUY No @ 98.2¢ · 42,941 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet jwp9999 took No (buy) for $42.2k at an average 98.2¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $42.2k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−5453American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.2¢
- Implied odds
- 98.2%
- Size
- $42.2k
- Placed
- Mar 16, 06:21 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- jwp9999
- Tx
- 0x09b9317b…
This wallet's graded record
9/9+6.1 pts
expected 8.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $37.0k | excluded |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $58.5k | excluded |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $66.5k | excluded |