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What this means. A wallet put $53.0k on Jaguars, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Texans vs. Jaguarsexcluded
$53.0k
BUY Jaguars @ 57¢ · 93,061 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)2.8× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet ksp15 took Jaguars (buy) for $53.0k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved Texans. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $53.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 57¢ means
57%chance the market gave
−133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Jaguars wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
57¢
Implied odds
57.0%
As American odds
−133 no vig
Size
$53.0k
Placed
Oct 18, 09:28 EDT
Market close
Oct 18, 09:30 EDT
Result
Texans
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ksp15
Tx
0x09b26274…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+32.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -57 pts
Jaguars price · entry 57¢ · resolved Texans
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 57¢ · $53.0k WHALE $53.0K @ 57¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Texans vs. JaguarsLOW SELL Texans @ 99.9¢ $61.6k0% gambamaster5d agoexcluded
Texans vs. JaguarsLOW SELL Texans @ 99.9¢ $24.7k0% Jittz5d agoexcluded
Texans vs. JaguarsMED SELL Texans @ 99.9¢ $88.7k0% 778908 NEW5d agoexcluded
Texans vs. JaguarsMED BUY Texans @ 80¢ $77.4k
4.1× usual
80% takeormake5d agoexcluded
Texans vs. JaguarsMED BUY Texans @ 89¢ $79.0k89% 778908 NEW5d agoexcluded
Texans vs. JaguarsLOW BUY Texans @ 88¢ $24.4k88% curie5d agoexcluded