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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +32.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+32.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$128.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$25.4k
Last 30 days −$30.6k · $973.0k volume · 450 trades · since Jan 03, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$25.4k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
67%
54 closed
Wallet age · markets
294d
54 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +32.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Texans vs. Jaguars | LOW SELL Texans @ 58¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Texans vs. Jaguars | LOW BUY Texans @ 73¢ | $23.8k | excluded |
| Texans vs. Jaguars | LOW SELL Jaguars @ 26¢ | $18.6k | excluded |
| Texans vs. Jaguars | LOW BUY Jaguars @ 57¢ | $53.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 68¢ | $14.3k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x214874…