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What this means. A wallet put $11.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?excluded
$11.0k
BUY Yes @ 99¢ · 11,111 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet twf369 took Yes (buy) for $11.0k at an average 99¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−9900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99¢
Implied odds
99.0%
As American odds
−9900 no vig
Size
$11.0k
Placed
Jun 20, 17:59 EDT
Market close
Jun 20, 16:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
twf369
Tx
0x08e9b5a2…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+6.6 pts
expected 0.9 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $14.8k0% quantitative2126d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $297.5k
7.9× usual
0% 0x3dfb…abaf126d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.1k0% Erwin1Goat NEW126d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $32.3k0% 0x09d2…26ae126d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $32.0k0% trillionaire126d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $31.8k
2.0× usual
0% mohahaha126d agoexcluded