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What this means. A wallet put $16.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.9k
SELL No @ 92¢ · 18,401 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletPolitics
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took No (sell) for $16.9k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $16.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 8.0%
- Size
- $16.9k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 16:07 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 03, 23:59 EST
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0x08206fcc…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.5 ptsNo price · entry 92¢ · now 92.5¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | MED BUY Yes @ 8¢ | $64.0k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $12.6k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $13.4k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | LOW SELL No @ 91¢ | $16.0k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | HIGH SELL No @ 92¢ | $48.1k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | MED BUY Yes @ 8¢ | $75.5k 2.2× usual |
pending |