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What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.4k
BUY No @ 96.3¢ · 10,763 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet TimRob took No (buy) for $10.4k at an average 96.3¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2602American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.3¢
- Implied odds
- 96.3%
- Size
- $10.4k
- Placed
- Mar 11, 21:16 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- TimRob
- Tx
- 0x045d0ee9…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+3.7 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $58.0k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $38.7k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $59.1k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $37.0k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $134.8k | excluded |