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Spread: Eagles (-3.5)missed
What this means. A wallet put $20.1k on Eagles, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-15.8 pts over 28 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)missed$20.1k
BUY Eagles @ 48¢ · 41,949 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x16bb…8492 took Eagles (buy) for $20.1k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Bears, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Eagles wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 48.0%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $20.1k
- Placed
- Sep 27, 12:19 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 28, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bears
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x16bb…8492
- Tx
- 0x03cdbfb2…
This wallet's graded record
10/28-15.8 pts
expected 14.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -48 ptsEagles price · entry 48¢ · resolved Bears
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | LOW BUY Eagles @ 44¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | LOW BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | MED BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $169.3k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | MED BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $38.4k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | MED BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $144.0k 6.0× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | LOW BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $10.1k | missed |