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What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?excluded
$12.0k
SELL Yes @ 60¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet vkvkgjerkgk took Yes (sell) for $12.0k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
60¢
Implied odds
39.8%
As American odds
+151 no vig
Size
$12.0k
Placed
Jun 16, 21:10 EDT
Market close
Jun 16, 21:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
vkvkgjerkgk
Tx
0x032f73b4…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+13.7 pts
expected 2.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -40 pts
Yes price · entry 60¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 60¢ · $12.0k WHALE $12.0K @ 60¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $124.0k
6.4× usual
0% suntori LOSING129d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.2k0% Papi-Robb129d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.6k0% 0xfdf6…00a1129d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $56.9k
2.0× usual
0% 0x9912…5d4a129d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.1k0% FishfulThinking129d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $1.38M
6.0× usual
0% Latina129d agoexcluded