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What this means. A wallet put $99.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$99.6k
BUY Yes @ 68¢ · 146,436 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)4.4× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet hqzxbktmrawplhncxfgdjyvs took Yes (buy) for $99.6k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $99.6k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−213American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 68¢
- Implied odds
- 68.0%
- Size
- $99.6k
- Placed
- Aug 21, 12:23 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- hqzxbktmrawplhncxfgdjyvs
- Tx
- 0x0263ee50…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 95.6¢ | $49.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 14¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 14¢ | $31.9k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 89¢ | $30.3k | excluded |