Spread: France (-2.5)
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden | $525.7k 5 flags |
$54.9k 1 wallet |
none |
| France | $55.8k 4 flags |
$10.5k 1 wallet |
none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY France @ 90¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Sweden @ 66¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY France @ 33¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY France @ 30¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Sweden @ 70¢ | $31.7k | excluded |
| MED BUY Sweden @ 69¢ | $134.7k 3.2× usual |
missed |
| HIGH BUY Sweden @ 68¢ | $288.4k 8.7× usual |
missed |
| MED BUY Sweden @ 68¢ | $54.9k 2.1× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY France @ 33¢ | $15.3k | called |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 9 whale trades on this market totalling $581.5k from 7 wallets. The largest was $288.4k (buy Sweden at 68¢). Most whale money ($525.7k) went to Sweden. 4 of 9 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, wr0ngw4yb3tt0r ($288.4k), has called 9 of 21 graded flags overall (-1.2 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (fifwc-fra-swe-2026-06-30-spread-home-2pt5).