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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Resolved: No
Flags
16
Net whale flow → outcome 1
−$679.5k
Price 7d ago → now
—
Category
Economy
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$718.8k
13 flags
 none none
Not No$39.3k
3 flags
 none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $11.5k100% Siziriv128d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $48.0k
2.2× usual
100% locuspm130d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $73.4k
3.3× usual
100% locuspm132d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $46.1k100% Oddinn134d agoexcluded
MED BUY No @ 99.6¢ $254.2k
5.4× usual
100% Oddinn134d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $15.7k0% 0xe639…082a135d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $66.6k100% 0xe639…082a135d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $65.3k99% 50ShadesofGrey135d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $18.5k100% Oddinn138d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $46.9k100% Oddinn138d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $18.0k100% Oddinn138d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $23.9k100% Oddinn138d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ $11.3k1% alredond145d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ $12.3k1% alredond155d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $27.3k
2.1× usual
99% alredond157d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $19.2k99% Siziriv175d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$11.5k
LOW Siziriv · 128d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$48.0k
LOW locuspm · 130d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$73.4k
LOW locuspm · 132d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$46.1k
LOW Oddinn · 134d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$254.2k
MED Oddinn · 134d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$15.7k
LOW 0xe639…082a · 135d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$66.6k
LOW 0xe639…082a · 135d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.4¢$65.3k
LOW 50ShadesofGrey · 135d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$18.5k
LOW Oddinn · 138d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$46.9k
LOW Oddinn · 138d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$18.0k
LOW Oddinn · 138d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$23.9k
LOW Oddinn · 138d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.4¢$11.3k
LOW alredond · 145d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.2¢$12.3k
LOW alredond · 155d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.3¢$27.3k
LOW alredond · 157d ago
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99¢$19.2k
LOW Siziriv · 175d ago

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 16 whale trades on this market totalling $758.2k from 6 wallets. The largest was $254.2k (buy No at 99.6¢). Most whale money ($718.8k) went to No. 13 of 16 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, Oddinn ($407.6k), has called 1 of 1 graded flags overall (+16.5 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-june-2026-meeting).