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Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Alert me on this market
Yes
2.5¢
No
97.5¢
Volume
$441.3k

No $10k+ trade on this market has been flagged yet, so there are no graded flags here. You can still see who holds each side, and big trades as they happen.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 2.5¢no rated wallets
  1. LlamaLoco0000$3,167
  2. 0x1545…3599$1,019
  3. B1B2$167
  4. PauliusKuncinas$147
  5. Pivko$87
  6. pollium$80
  7. 0x3783…f624$64
  8. QuantZVision$55
  9. FC26$46
  10. jacoboliver$44
  11. 0x1856…506e$42
  12. KKCY3218$39
No 97.5¢no rated wallets
  1. aannggg$47.0k
  2. budu100$34.2k
  3. Aq4ExePrd22Jn$19.4k
  4. J3lcExePrd1KE5M$16.7k
  5. OiOiOiCxxtCxxtCxxt$12.3k
  6. ElectricSamurai$10.6k
  7. QMG-CORE$10.4k
  8. fqy2026$9,941
  9. hgamezoon$7,853
  10. esports095$5,667
  11. LIBAI$2,938
  12. Talophex$2,805

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

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Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.