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What this means. A wallet put $11.6k on Cavaliers, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Cavaliers vs. Bucksexcluded
$11.6k
BUY Cavaliers @ 58¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet ckw took Cavaliers (buy) for $11.6k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Bucks. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Cavaliers wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
58¢
Implied odds
58.0%
As American odds
−138 no vig
Size
$11.6k
Placed
Feb 25, 20:03 EST
Market close
Feb 25, 20:00 EST
Result
Bucks
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ckw
Tx
0xffdf8d07…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+53.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -58 pts
Cavaliers price · entry 58¢ · resolved Bucks
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 58¢ · $11.6k WHALE $11.6K @ 58¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Cavaliers vs. BucksLOW SELL Bucks @ 99¢ $37.9k1% workingonstuff240d agoexcluded
Cavaliers vs. BucksLOW BUY Cavaliers @ 59¢ $12.1k59% ChompChomp888240d agoexcluded
Cavaliers vs. BucksLOW BUY Cavaliers @ 58¢ $15.3k58% Painfulvoid240d agoexcluded
Cavaliers vs. BucksLOW SELL Bucks @ 42¢ $10.0k58% ropetard240d agoexcluded
Cavaliers vs. BucksMED BUY Cavaliers @ 58¢ $134.4k
3.4× usual
58% hotdogcat240d agoexcluded
Cavaliers vs. BucksLOW BUY Bucks @ 41¢ $16.9k41% yaknow99879240d agoexcluded