← Wallets
−$25Warriors · avg 23¢ → 22¢ · $1,125−$25Mavericks · avg 17¢ → 16¢ · $825−$184Yes · avg 4.4¢ → 3¢ · $415
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +53.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+53.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$254.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$812.2k
Last 30 days −$3,591 · $75.52M volume · 51,738 trades · since Oct 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$11.72M
Open P&L · 41 positions
−$103.3k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
724d
2362 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +53.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Cavaliers vs. Pistons | MED BUY Pistons @ 73¢ | $95.0k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 74¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| Celtics vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Celtics @ 50¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| Celtics vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 58¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 58¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Pelicans | LOW BUY Pelicans @ 47¢ | $18.8k | called |
| Spurs vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Spurs @ 47¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
 Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 50¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 63¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
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