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What this means. A wallet put $23.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 82% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.6k
BUY No @ 82¢ · 28,972 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Pajamapants took No (buy) for $23.6k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 82% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 82¢ means
82%chance the market gave
−442American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 82¢
- Implied odds
- 81.6%
- Size
- $23.6k
- Placed
- Apr 16, 05:13 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 21, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Pajamapants
- Tx
- 0xff4e23ce…
This wallet's graded record
10/11+27.4 pts
expected 7.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +18 ptsNo price · entry 82¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |