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Spurs vs. Thundermissed
What this means. A wallet put $11.6k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-6.8 pts over 38 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.6k
BUY Thunder @ 58¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xf559…f462 took Thunder (buy) for $11.6k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.0%
- As American odds
- −138 no vig
- Size
- $11.6k
- Placed
- May 29, 07:09 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Spurs
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xf559…f462
- Tx
- 0xfe363caf…
This wallet's graded record
20/38-6.8 pts
expected 22.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -58 ptsThunder price · entry 58¢ · resolved Spurs
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $28.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $34.2k 2.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Spurs @ 99¢ | $27.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Spurs @ 99¢ | $12.1k | excluded |