WhaleGrader Log inSign up
← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $11.6k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-6.8 pts over 38 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spurs vs. Thundermissed
$11.6k
BUY Thunder @ 58¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0xf559…f462 took Thunder (buy) for $11.6k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
58¢
Implied odds
58.0%
As American odds
−138 no vig
Size
$11.6k
Placed
May 29, 07:09 EDT
Market close
May 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
Spurs
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0xf559…f462
Tx
0xfe363caf…
This wallet's graded record
20/38-6.8 pts
expected 22.6 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -58 pts
Thunder price · entry 58¢ · resolved Spurs
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 58¢ · $11.6k WHALE $11.6K @ 58¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $12.1k0% 0x82db…26b7147d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $11.6k0% kkookkoo147d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $28.4k0% justhuman.eth147d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $34.2k
2.3× usual
0% Kittie147d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Spurs @ 99¢ $27.7k1% haristotle147d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Spurs @ 99¢ $12.1k1% blket147d agoexcluded