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What this means. A wallet put $31.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 11% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$31.2k
SELL Yes @ 89¢ · 35,114 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x9e3e…f882 took Yes (sell) for $31.2k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 11% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $31.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 89¢
- Implied odds
- 11.0%
- As American odds
- +808 no vig
- Size
- $31.2k
- Placed
- Sep 13, 13:20 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 13, 11:30 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x9e3e…f882
- Tx
- 0xfd081aef…
This wallet's graded record
0/7-41.8 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $28.0k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 60¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 50¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | MED BUY No @ 56¢ | $43.9k | excluded |