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What this means. A wallet put $36.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$36.1k
SELL No @ 60¢ · 60,000 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hOther
What happened
Wallet 0x1c12…79d9 took No (sell) for $36.1k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $36.1k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 39.8%
- Size
- $36.1k
- Placed
- Jan 29, 19:20 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x1c12…79d9
- Tx
- 0xfc5f09bd…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-10.4 pts
expected 1.2 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade +60 ptsNo price · entry 60¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $17.0k | excluded |