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What this means. A wallet put $19.8k on Egypt, at a price that gave it a 85% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advanceexcluded
$19.8k
BUY Egypt @ 85¢ · 23,345 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet allen114 took Egypt (buy) for $19.8k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 85% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 85¢ means
85%chance the market gave
−567American odds
$1.00paid per share if Egypt wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
85¢
Implied odds
85.0%
As American odds
−567 no vig
Size
$19.8k
Placed
Jul 07, 13:33 EDT
Market close
Jul 07, 12:00 EDT
Result
Argentina
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
allen114
Tx
0xfbcdae6a…
This wallet's graded record
7/8-6.2 pts
expected 7.5 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $147.0k0% dumb6money109d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $10.9k0% 0x631a…b631109d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceMED SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $121.5k0% jk120 NEW109d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $104.0k
6.5× usual
0% stockpicks109d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $12.8k0% Ma999109d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceMED SELL Argentina @ 34¢ $39.4k
2.0× usual
66% suntori LOSING109d agoexcluded