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What this means. A wallet put $17.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 13% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.0k
SELL No @ 87¢ · 19,536 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet jimbobianthethird took No (sell) for $17.0k at an average 87¢. At that price the market implied a 13% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 87¢
- Implied odds
- 13.0%
- Size
- $17.0k
- Placed
- May 24, 13:02 EDT
- Market close
- May 25, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- jimbobianthethird
- Tx
- 0xfbc8729c…
This wallet's graded record
0/5-45.4 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -13 ptsNo price · entry 87¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $76.2k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $21.6k | excluded |