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What this means. A wallet put $16.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?called
$16.0k
BUY Yes @ 62¢ · 25,841 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet turo took Yes (buy) for $16.0k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $16.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−163American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
62¢
Implied odds
61.9%
Size
$16.0k
Placed
Apr 22, 22:17 EDT
Market close
May 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
turo
Tx
0xfbbdff96…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+48.8 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% doQysuW7L9-U6xMX8Qgv128d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $134.9k
2.7× usual
0% Ordon128d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% 0xcf19…6402128d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.2k100% 2Sherlock128d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.0k100% 0x3670…34f9128d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $110.4k100% farminglabs128d agoexcluded