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What this means. A wallet put $13.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.1k
BUY Yes @ 92¢ · 14,202 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xd459…13f9 took Yes (buy) for $13.1k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 92.0%
- Size
- $13.1k
- Placed
- May 08, 23:01 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xd459…13f9
- Tx
- 0xfb9fa34b…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit China by May 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $28.2k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.6k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $328.4k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $69.9k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $138.0k | excluded |