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What this means. A wallet put $93.8k on not TheMongolz, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.4 pts over 48 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$93.8k
SELL TheMongolz @ 99.9¢ · 93,880 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)2.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet YYYYY999 took TheMongolz (sell) for $93.8k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved TheMongolz. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $93.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $93.8k
- Placed
- Aug 12, 08:40 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 12, 08:00 EDT
- Result
- TheMongolz
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- YYYYY999
- Tx
- 0xfb4012d3…
This wallet's graded record
23/48-3.4 pts
expected 24.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsTheMongolz price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved TheMongolz · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D | LOW SELL TheMongolz @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D | LOW SELL TheMongolz @ 99.9¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D | LOW SELL TheMongolz @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D | MED BUY magic @ 67¢ | $75.1k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D | LOW BUY TheMongolz @ 40¢ | $41.2k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D | LOW BUY TheMongolz @ 55¢ | $16.6k | excluded |