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Nuggets vs. Spurscalled
What this means. A wallet put $19.2k on not Spurs, at a price that gave it a 20% chance. It won. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Nuggets vs. Spurscalled$19.2k
SELL Spurs @ 80¢ · 24,034 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet AppleTime67 took Spurs (sell) for $19.2k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 20% chance for that side. The market resolved Nuggets, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 20.0%
- As American odds
- +400 no vig
- Size
- $19.2k
- Placed
- Apr 12, 19:10 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 12, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Nuggets
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- AppleTime67
- Tx
- 0xfb06c5a6…
This wallet's graded record
4/8+3.2 pts
expected 3.7 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade +80 ptsSpurs price · entry 80¢ · resolved Nuggets · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $58.4k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 97.4¢ | $15.4k | excluded |