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What this means. A wallet put $30.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?excluded
$30.1k
SELL Yes @ 95.5¢ · 31,538 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet CallMeMentalist took Yes (sell) for $30.1k at an average 95.5¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $30.1k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
95.5¢
Implied odds
4.5%
As American odds
+2126 no vig
Size
$30.1k
Placed
Jun 20, 17:58 EDT
Market close
Jun 20, 16:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
CallMeMentalist
Tx
0xfa444ccf…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $14.8k0% quantitative2126d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $297.5k
7.9× usual
0% 0x3dfb…abaf126d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.1k0% Erwin1Goat NEW126d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $32.3k0% 0x09d2…26ae126d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $32.0k0% trillionaire126d agoexcluded
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $31.8k
2.0× usual
0% mohahaha126d agoexcluded