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What this means. A wallet put $38.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$38.3k
BUY No @ 99.4¢ · 38,532 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.2× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet Siziriv took No (buy) for $38.3k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $38.3k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−16567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.4¢
- Implied odds
- 99.4%
- Size
- $38.3k
- Placed
- Apr 14, 11:41 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Siziriv
- Tx
- 0xfa2e5b49…
This wallet's graded record
5/7-1.5 pts
expected 5.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $141.1k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $537.0k 11.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $728.7k 15.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $1.06M 22.6× usual |
excluded |