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What this means. A wallet put $19.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 63% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -29.7 pts vs the price over 24 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.2k
BUY Yes @ 63¢ · 30,400 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet sleepy-panda took Yes (buy) for $19.2k at an average 63¢. At that price the market implied a 63% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 63¢ means
63%chance the market gave
−170American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 63¢
- Implied odds
- 63.0%
- As American odds
- −170 no vig
- Size
- $19.2k
- Placed
- Feb 24, 18:11 EST
- Market close
- Feb 25, 15:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- sleepy-panda
- Tx
- 0xf7afbdd4…
This wallet's graded record
3/24-29.7 pts
expected 10.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +37 ptsYes price · entry 63¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $34.4k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | LOW SELL Yes @ 77¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $75.5k | excluded |