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What this means. A wallet put $26.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 14% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -16.0 pts vs the price over 55 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$26.0k
BUY Yes @ 14¢ · 186,877 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet mooseborzoi took Yes (buy) for $26.0k at an average 14¢. At that price the market implied a 14% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $26.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 14¢ means
14%chance the market gave
+619American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 14¢
- Implied odds
- 13.9%
- As American odds
- +619 no vig
- Size
- $26.0k
- Placed
- Jun 16, 15:39 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- mooseborzoi
- Tx
- 0xf5bd1530…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-16.0 pts
expected 36.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $100.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |