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What this means. A wallet put $13.0k on Shopify Rebellion, at a price that gave it a 29% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.0k
BUY Shopify Rebellion @ 29¢ · 44,836 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took Shopify Rebellion (buy) for $13.0k at an average 29¢. At that price the market implied a 29% chance for that side. The market resolved Shopify Rebellion. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $13.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 29¢ means
29%chance the market gave
+245American odds
$1.00paid per share if Shopify Rebellion wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 29¢
- Implied odds
- 29.0%
- As American odds
- +245 no vig
- Size
- $13.0k
- Placed
- Sep 18, 15:52 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 18, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Shopify Rebellion
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0xf43886e4…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade +71 ptsShopify Rebellion price · entry 29¢ · resolved Shopify Rebellion
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | LOW SELL Shopify Rebellion @ 99.9¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | LOW SELL Shopify Rebellion @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | LOW BUY Shopify Rebellion @ 99.6¢ | $49.8k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | LOW BUY Shopify Rebellion @ 98.4¢ | $21.9k | excluded |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | LOW BUY Shopify Rebellion @ 36¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | LOW BUY Shopify Rebellion @ 36¢ | $15.0k | excluded |