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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Shopify Rebellion, at a price that gave it a 36% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +21.0 pts vs the price over 28 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY Shopify Rebellion @ 36¢ · 42,057 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet BrotherObama took Shopify Rebellion (buy) for $15.0k at an average 36¢. At that price the market implied a 36% chance for that side. The market resolved Shopify Rebellion. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 36¢ means
36%chance the market gave
+180American odds
$1.00paid per share if Shopify Rebellion wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 36¢
- Implied odds
- 35.7%
- As American odds
- +180 no vig
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Sep 18, 19:14 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 18, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Shopify Rebellion
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- BrotherObama
- Tx
- 0x9b1a3183…
This wallet's graded record
20/28+21.0 pts
expected 14.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Shopify Rebellion @ 99.9¢ | $14.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Shopify Rebellion @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Shopify Rebellion @ 99.6¢ | $49.8k 2.5× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Shopify Rebellion @ 98.4¢ | $21.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Shopify Rebellion @ 36¢ | $23.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Shopify Rebellion @ 29¢ | $13.0k | excluded |