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What this means. A wallet put $27.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called
$27.1k
BUY Yes @ 57¢ · 47,420 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet RJW1 took Yes (buy) for $27.1k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $27.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 57¢ means
57%chance the market gave
−134American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
57¢
Implied odds
57.2%
As American odds
−134 no vig
Size
$27.1k
Placed
Jul 14, 17:23 EDT
Market close
Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
RJW1
Tx
0xf28af3a4…
This wallet's graded record
10/11+43.8 pts
expected 5.2 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +43 pts
Yes price · entry 57¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 57¢ · $27.1k WHALE $27.1K @ 57¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $35.7k0% Deido96d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $43.0k0% neymar196d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $26.7k0% 0x929a…a3d896d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $100.3k0% Djdjdjekekek96d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $64.7k0% 0x37ee…f86f96d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.5k0% Nihaww96d agoexcluded