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What this means. A wallet put $39.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?excluded
$39.8k
BUY Yes @ 35¢ · 113,686 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet cnyek took Yes (buy) for $39.8k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $39.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 35¢ means
35%chance the market gave
+186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
35¢
Implied odds
35.0%
As American odds
+186 no vig
Size
$39.8k
Placed
Jun 15, 16:41 EDT
Market close
Jun 15, 15:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
cnyek
Tx
0xefc8d2ee…
This wallet's graded record
9/12+22.6 pts
expected 6.3 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $199.8k
6.7× usual
0% cc9999131d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $78.1k
2.1× usual
0% VPenguin131d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $159.8k
6.9× usual
0% beet420131d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% meoooow131d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $92.9k
2.5× usual
0% Swooferdeluxe131d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $186.9k
8.9× usual
0% heal-.-131d agoexcluded