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Will England win on 2026-06-17?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $194.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 86% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.3 pts over 55 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will England win on 2026-06-17?excluded$194.8k
BUY Yes @ 86¢ · 227,116 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)4.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Yes (buy) for $194.8k at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 86% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $194.8k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 86¢ means
86%chance the market gave
−604American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 86¢
- Implied odds
- 85.8%
- As American odds
- −604 no vig
- Size
- $194.8k
- Placed
- Jun 17, 17:50 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 17, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0xefc5f1ee…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-3.3 pts
expected 29.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.4k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $73.5k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $73.1k 2.9× usual |
excluded |