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What this means. A wallet put $28.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?missed
$28.3k
BUY Yes @ 50¢ · 56,509 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet hqzxbktmrawplhncxfgdjyvs took Yes (buy) for $28.3k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $28.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
50¢
Implied odds
50.0%
Size
$28.3k
Placed
Sep 05, 10:11 EDT
Market close
Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
hqzxbktmrawplhncxfgdjyvs
Tx
0xeccafaf0…
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -50 pts
Yes price · entry 50¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 50¢ · $28.3k WHALE $28.3K @ 50¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

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