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What this means. A wallet put $10.2k on Carlos Alcaraz, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcarazexcluded
$10.2k
BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 68¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet TRCM took Carlos Alcaraz (buy) for $10.2k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved Ben Shelton. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−213American odds
$1.00paid per share if Carlos Alcaraz wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
68¢
Implied odds
68.0%
As American odds
−213 no vig
Size
$10.2k
Placed
Sep 09, 02:27 EDT
Market close
Sep 08, 23:00 EDT
Result
Ben Shelton
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
TRCM
Tx
0xec2cd299…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazLOW SELL Ben Shelton @ 99.9¢ $21.2k0% NiNo99945d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazLOW SELL Ben Shelton @ 99.9¢ $11.8k0% Mustafa1122334445d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazLOW BUY Ben Shelton @ 89¢ $13.7k89% 0xd9e0…05f245d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazLOW BUY Ben Shelton @ 45¢ $22.7k45% 0x2c33…056345d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazLOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 63¢ $11.3k63% unbribeableref45d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazLOW SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 59¢ $13.2k41% unbribeableref45d agoexcluded

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi's trade tape has no account id. A public nickname shows on the Kalshi flag when the social feed names that side.

YES Carlos Alcaraz$15.6k78¢46d ago