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What this means. A wallet put $61.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called
$61.4k
BUY No @ 56¢ · 109,594 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)2.3× this wallet's usual betOther

What happened

Wallet chungguskhan took No (buy) for $61.4k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $61.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−127American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
56¢
Implied odds
56.0%
Size
$61.4k
Placed
Mar 01, 21:37 EST
Market close
Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
chungguskhan
Tx
0xeaf67eb4…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-24.4 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.3k0% 0xad2f…d8c6 NEW116d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% shibagege117d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% shibagege118d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% kevtp118d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k0% KazLC119d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $29.9k0% HongKongMenace119d agoexcluded