← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $20.6k on not LYON, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.6k
SELL LYON @ 99.9¢ · 20,602 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xb7f9…fc82 took LYON (sell) for $20.6k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved LYON. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $20.6k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 21:04 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 20:05 EDT
- Result
- LYON
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xb7f9…fc82
- Tx
- 0xea2fa17b…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsLYON price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved LYON · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL LYON @ 99.9¢ | $61.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY LYON @ 99.9¢ | $39.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY LYON @ 88¢ | $172.9k 4.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY LYON @ 56¢ | $14.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY LYON @ 59¢ | $25.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Team Secret Whales @ 43¢ | $26.0k | excluded |