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What this means. A wallet put $172.9k on LYON, at a price that gave it a 88% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$172.9k
BUY LYON @ 88¢ · 196,555 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)4.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took LYON (buy) for $172.9k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 88% chance for that side. The market resolved LYON. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $172.9k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 88¢ means
88%chance the market gave
−732American odds
$1.00paid per share if LYON wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 88¢
- Implied odds
- 88.0%
- As American odds
- −732 no vig
- Size
- $172.9k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 20:34 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 20:05 EDT
- Result
- LYON
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0x637148fc…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +12 ptsLYON price · entry 88¢ · resolved LYON
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL LYON @ 99.9¢ | $20.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL LYON @ 99.9¢ | $61.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY LYON @ 99.9¢ | $39.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY LYON @ 56¢ | $14.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY LYON @ 59¢ | $25.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Team Secret Whales @ 43¢ | $26.0k | excluded |