← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $23.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 32% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.7k
SELL Yes @ 68¢ · 34,819 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet redvinny took Yes (sell) for $23.7k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 32% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $23.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 68¢
- Implied odds
- 32.0%
- As American odds
- +213 no vig
- Size
- $23.7k
- Placed
- Jul 19, 17:31 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- redvinny
- Tx
- 0xe99080df…
This wallet's graded record
7/9+10.3 pts
expected 6.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -32 ptsYes price · entry 68¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $100.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |