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What this means. A wallet put $24.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$24.0k
BUY No @ 55¢ · 43,621 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet ImJustKen took No (buy) for $24.0k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $24.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−122American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 55.0%
- Size
- $24.0k
- Placed
- Jan 29, 15:57 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ImJustKen
- Tx
- 0xe95c6d8c…
This wallet's graded record
6/12+1.4 pts
expected 5.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -55 ptsNo price · entry 55¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $17.0k | excluded |