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What this means. A wallet put $49.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 17% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.7k
SELL No @ 83¢ · 59,725 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Mind.The.Gap took No (sell) for $49.7k at an average 83¢. At that price the market implied a 17% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $49.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 83¢
- Implied odds
- 16.9%
- As American odds
- +493 no vig
- Size
- $49.7k
- Placed
- Jul 01, 21:10 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 01, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Mind.The.Gap
- Tx
- 0xe91a48be…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+18.5 pts
expected 0.8 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade -17 ptsNo price · entry 83¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | MED BUY No @ 80¢ | $42.0k | excluded |
| Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | LOW BUY Yes @ 24¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | LOW BUY Yes @ 23¢ | $18.2k | excluded |
| Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | MED BUY No @ 79¢ | $27.9k | excluded |
| Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | MED BUY Yes @ 11¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $30.0k | excluded |