← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $16.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 11% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.5k
BUY Yes @ 11¢ · 149,759 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took Yes (buy) for $16.5k at an average 11¢. At that price the market implied a 11% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $16.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 11¢ means
11%chance the market gave
+809American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 11¢
- Implied odds
- 11.0%
- As American odds
- +809 no vig
- Size
- $16.5k
- Placed
- Jul 01, 21:08 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 01, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0x39a818a9…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -11 ptsYes price · entry 11¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | MED BUY No @ 80¢ | $42.0k | excluded |
| Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | LOW BUY Yes @ 24¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | LOW BUY Yes @ 23¢ | $18.2k | excluded |
| Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | MED BUY No @ 79¢ | $27.9k | excluded |
| Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | MED SELL No @ 83¢ | $49.7k | excluded |
| Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $30.0k | excluded |