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What this means. A wallet put $178.7k on not Argentina, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -18.2 pts vs the price over 26 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$178.7k
SELL Argentina @ 96.1¢ · 185,863 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)9.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet suntori took Argentina (sell) for $178.7k at an average 96.1¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $178.7k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 96.1¢
- Implied odds
- 3.9%
- As American odds
- +2480 no vig
- Size
- $178.7k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 23:39 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Argentina
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- suntori
- Tx
- 0xe77c8458…
This wallet's graded record
10/26-18.2 pts
expected 14.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $189.2k 11.9× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $26.2k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $10.0k | excluded |