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Giants vs. Ramsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $46.7k on not Rams, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -19.3 pts vs the price over 28 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Giants vs. Ramsexcluded$46.7k
SELL Rams @ 93.3¢ · 50,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet surfandturf took Rams (sell) for $46.7k at an average 93.3¢. At that price the market implied a 7% chance for that side. The market resolved Rams. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $46.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 93.3¢
- Implied odds
- 6.7%
- As American odds
- +1403 no vig
- Size
- $46.7k
- Placed
- Sep 21, 21:20 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 21, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Rams
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- surfandturf
- Tx
- 0xe6b77c0d…
This wallet's graded record
10/28-19.3 pts
expected 15.4 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade -7 ptsRams price · entry 93.3¢ · resolved Rams · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giants vs. Rams | LOW SELL Rams @ 99.9¢ | $96.6k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Giants vs. Rams | LOW BUY Rams @ 99.9¢ | $55.6k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Giants vs. Rams | LOW BUY Rams @ 98.8¢ | $67.9k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Giants vs. Rams | MED BUY Rams @ 94.5¢ | $113.0k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Giants vs. Rams | LOW SELL Rams @ 93.2¢ | $23.3k | excluded |
| Giants vs. Rams | LOW BUY Rams @ 91.8¢ | $11.5k | excluded |