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What this means. A wallet put $18.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.3k
SELL Yes @ 21¢ · 88,585 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet thegreatjeff took Yes (sell) for $18.3k at an average 21¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 21¢
- Implied odds
- 79.3%
- As American odds
- −383 no vig
- Size
- $18.3k
- Placed
- Jul 13, 05:37 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- thegreatjeff
- Tx
- 0xe5f16fa3…
This wallet's graded record
5/11-14.2 pts
expected 6.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -79 ptsYes price · entry 21¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $100.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |