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What this means. A wallet put $46.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 66% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?excluded
$46.2k
BUY Yes @ 66¢ · 70,073 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0xbc43…96d3 took Yes (buy) for $46.2k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 66% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $46.2k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 66¢ means
66%chance the market gave
−194American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
66¢
Implied odds
66.0%
As American odds
−194 no vig
Size
$46.2k
Placed
Aug 31, 14:47 EDT
Market close
Aug 31, 15:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0xbc43…96d3
Tx
0xe577f07b…
This wallet's graded record
5/7+27.0 pts
expected 3.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +34 pts
Yes price · entry 66¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 66¢ · $46.2k WHALE $46.2K @ 66¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?HIGH SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $1.46M0% 0xbda2…5689 NEW53d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $53.0k0% NiNo99953d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?LOW SELL Yes @ 83¢ $17.2k17% unbeatable153d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢ $11.4k83% ProfessionalPunter53d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ $11.7k56% unbeatable153d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?LOW BUY No @ 37¢ $12.3k37% WINSONS53d agoexcluded