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What this means. A wallet put $1.46M on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$1.46M
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 1,464,495 shares
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet 0xbda2…5689 took Yes (sell) for $1.46M at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $1.46M+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $1.46M
- Placed
- Aug 31, 17:00 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 31, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xbda2…5689
- Tx
- 0xaaa896a9…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $53.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 83¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? | LOW BUY No @ 37¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $14.3k | excluded |